The past few months of quiet and relatively stable corporate
trading always had an ominous air about it. MF Kent apart, plus a
daily round of smaller victims, there had been no major collapses
for well over 12 months. Yet it was never real cause for
celebration. Like ducks gliding on a pond, the air of calm was
deceptive: below the surface, there has been desperate paddling
just to keep afloat. With material and labour pressures mounting,
and contractors still tendering recklessly, something had to give
soon - and last week it was VAT Watkins that finally snapped.
Commentators have remorselessly remarked that it would not be
until recession ended that the walking wounded were put out of
their misery. This appears to be very much the case with Watkins.
Precisely why Barclays pulled the plug has not been made clear, and
the private company's accounts for the past year have not yet been
filed. But with the contraction in Watkins' turnover, despite some
low bidding, cashflow looks to have dried up and the company
probably ran out of money. The absence of the once-ubiquitous
'vulture' companies shows that the group must have bought some very
poorly rewarded contracts.
Barclays has acquired a reputation of being the first bank to lend
money and the first to pull the plug - and that reputation will not
be shaken by this latest episode. The extent of Watkins' debt has
not been revealed, but with Victor Watkins offering the near
œ6 million proceeds of a private sale in order to salvage his
47-year old group, one would have thought a responsible institution
might have stuck by a longstanding client in his hour of crisis.
All the more so when other sub-contractors will be badly hurt,
perhaps fatally, by the collapse.
This is perhaps not a fashionable view with some contractors, who
may be quietly cheering the demise of a competitor that undercut
them in a market bloated with overcapacity. In truth, though,
overcapacity is already starting to ease. Not dramatically, of
course, but there are signs of a pick-up in tender prices, as an
RICS survey confirms this week. Watkins was a skilled company, and
the industry needs such operators. Before too long, their absence
will be sorely missed.