In the week in which the Department of Transport announced the
shortlists for the next tranche of DBFO road schemes, contractors
tendering for the first four schemes are becoming increasingly
worried that sky high prices could scupper or seriously delay
them.
The high prices have come about because of the need for contractors
to price all risk associated with the schemes over a 30-year
period. One firm described the tendering method as a 'lottery'.
'You can put in a very competitive construction bid but still be
undercut by another firm gambling on the risk element associated
with the job,' said a senior estimator.
One top contractor, who wished to remain anonymous, said: 'The
conforming bids will probably come in too high and will be heavily
qualified. I think the Highways Agency will get a nasty shock when
they see the figures. You have to ask what it is they are trying to
achieve by loading all the risk onto the private sector? Does
anyone really believe the roads will be any cheaper to build or
manage? What should be addressed is who can best afford and manage
the risk - in this case it's got to be the Government as they are
the paymasters.'
Another said: 'The schemes are bound to come in more expensive. On
average schemes have a 30% higher out-turn, often caused by bad
ground conditions. The DoT is a self-insuring body that can spread
these costs over a number of projects. A private sector group
bidding for one project and taking on all the risk has got to
budget for the worst case scenario which makes it more
expensive.'
Several contractors privately expressed considerable cynicism over
the way the Private Finance Initiative is being run. One observed:
'I don't think the Government will be at all worried if the high
prices slow up the DBFO roads programme. It all helps to keep
expenditure down.' See story on P.2.