Exclusive by John Leitch
City speculation is rife that Tarmac is in merger talks with a UK
aggregates producer.
The aggregates players seen as being most likely to pursue a merger
with Tarmac, the UK's leading producer, are RMC, Lafarge, Tilcon or
Pioneer. The number two producer ARC is not viewed as being the
mystery party because a merger with Tarmac would prompt a reference
to the Monopolies and Mergers Commission, as the joint group would
hold a dominant 40 per cent market share.
The leading players in the aggregates market are Tarmac (25 per
cent), ARC (15), Aggregate Industries (12), Lafarge (10), RMC (9),
Tilcon (6) and Pioneer (3).
Tarmac's share price dropped to 95p last week, well below its 1998
high point of 130.5p. Mike Betts, construction analyst with
stockbroker Goldman Sachs, estimates Tarmac's shares to have an
asset value of 142p, based on the value of comparable UK and US
aggregates companies.
A merger with another UK producer could save Tarmac from an
unwelcome take-over bid. One analyst said: "With Tarmac's shares at
95p, a predator making a bid of 125p would have a good chance of
getting it. Look at the picture with Redland: Lafarge had been
waiting for a weakness in Redland's share price and when it fell it
recognised that the situation offered a great opportunity."