Brickonomics

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• Future traders think the tide has turned for house prices

  The futures market is now pricing in strong growth in the housing market, with the Halifax index priced to rise by 6% over the coming 12 months and by 12% over 5 years. This is a marked rise in the prices from just a month ago and reflects the uplift... Posted Oct 08 2009, 10:11 AM by Brickonomics Filed under: house prices, Halifax, house building, Tradition Future HPI, futures market, hedging

• "House price falls are over" say futures traders

  House price falls are over. That is the declaration made over the past two months by the futures market after two years of grim expectations. As recently as last December you could forward buy a notional average house three years hence for £106,153 on... Posted Sep 14 2009, 09:53 AM by Brickonomics Filed under: house prices, house price crash, Lehman Brothers, credit crunch, Tradition Future HPI, futures market

• And the good news is...

  The uber-bearish traders in house price futures appear to have softened their view on the depth of the slump in house prices quite markedly over the past month or so. At the turn of the year you could have bought a notional average house three years hence... Posted Jun 11 2009, 03:17 PM by Brickonomics Filed under: house prices, Halifax, Tradition Future HPI, futures market

• Traders see a brighter future for house prices - but still expect a further 17% drop

  Follow the money they say. Well the money punted in the futures market suggests that average house prices still have at least 17% to fall. That puts the peak-to-trough drop at more than a third. But the good news for those selling homes is that the mood... Posted May 14 2009, 10:01 AM by Brickonomics Filed under: house prices, Halifax, Tradition Future HPI, futures market

• House price futures on the rise

  It has been a good spring so far for house builders in terms of sentiment if not in terms of actual sales. This is in sharp contrast to last year when market devastation created more ashen-faced residential developers than you could shake a stick at.... Posted Apr 09 2009, 11:21 AM by Brickonomics Filed under: house prices, housing market, Tradition Future HPI, Housing Market Report, futures market, Home Builders Federation